{"id":101,"date":"2024-12-18T13:25:38","date_gmt":"2024-12-18T13:25:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/?p=101"},"modified":"2025-03-06T14:36:28","modified_gmt":"2025-03-06T14:36:28","slug":"volatility-and-inflation-impacts-on-global-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/volatilite-et-inflation-impacts-sur-economie-mondiale\/","title":{"rendered":"Volatility and Inflation: Impacts on the Global Economy in 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volatility and Inflation, Where do We Stand?<\/h1>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Currency value fluctuations can be erratic and snowball from seemingly insignificant triggers. Since the beginning of the year,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/volatility-and-inflation\/\">volatility and inflation<\/a>\u00a0have driven frequent and unpredictable currency movements, often reaching multi-week highs or lows within days.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The U.S. Economy: Too Strong to Cut Interest Rates, Too Weak for Strong Growth<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The U.S. economy is growing at a slower pace in 2024 compared to 2023, indicating a decline in consumer spending. However, lower inflation and a strong labor market led Fed Chair\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/aboutthefed\/bios\/board\/powell.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mr. Powell<\/a>\u00a0to highlight the economy\u2019s success in managing inflation more effectively.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>In the long term, however, the outlook is less clear. High interest rates are slowing real growth, and currently, the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/monetarypolicy.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Federal Reserve<\/a>\u00a0finds itself in a perplexing scenario: the economy is too strong to justify rate cuts, yet too weak for significant expansion.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volatility and Inflation \u2013 Uncertain Direction<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>November is shaping up to be a revealing month! It marks both the anticipated first Fed rate cut and the U.S. presidential election. However, it's worth noting that the expected number of rate cuts for this year has dropped from six at the start of the year to just one in November.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Additionally, Powell is just one of many officials who may be exploring new career opportunities by the end of November\u2014something to keep an eye on.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Volatility and Inflation: The Eurozone \u2013 A Puzzle to Decode<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>The eurozone economy remains an enigma. Inflation has decreased enough to warrant interest rate easing, yet economic growth remains nearly stagnant. German consumer confidence declined after showing signs of recovery. Seven eurozone member states have received poor ratings due to their growing budget deficits.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Adding to the complexity are the upcoming French elections and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orb\u00e1n\u2019s six-month presidency of the EU Council. Europe's subdued growth raises an important question: will it secure the financing it needs?<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Despite inflation proving more persistent than anticipated, major economies continue moving toward lower interest rates without significant economic contraction.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Canada (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofcanada.ca\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bank of Canada<\/a>) and the Eurozone (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/press_conference\/visual-mps\/2024\/html\/mopo_statement_explained_june.en.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">European Central Bank<\/a>) became the first central banks representing G7 countries to cut borrowing costs. The Bank of England (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bankofengland.co.uk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bank of England<\/a>) recently lowered its rate from 5.25% to 5%, with another cut possible before year-end. Meanwhile, the timing of the ECB\u2019s next move remains uncertain, as inflation is still above target. In the U.S., all eyes are on November.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>For more insights, explore these articles:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/volatility-and-inflation-context-economic-growth\/\">Volatility and Inflation in a Context of Economic Growth<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/volatility-and-inflation-financial-markets-2\/\">Volatility and Inflation: Impact on Financial Markets<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 id=\"viewer-dmd3t\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">International Markets: A World of Opportunities<\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p id=\"viewer-6j3tm\">Growing your business internationally drives growth but also exposes SMEs to risks. Tracking how exchange rates affect performance is no easy task.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong><u>D-Risk FX <\/u><\/strong><\/a>provides SMEs with performance, risk, and scenario analyses by market, currency, and business line\u2014leading to a tailored hedging strategy and real-time visibility on projected financial performance.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p id=\"viewer-8fcdn\">Gain autonomy, automate your processes, and approach foreign markets with the confidence of a clear currency risk strategy and the tracking tools to support your ambitions.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Volatilit\u00e9 et Inflation, Qu\u2019en est-il ? Les variations de la valeur relative des monnaies peuvent \u00eatre nerveuses et faire boule de neige \u00e0 partir d\u2019\u00e9l\u00e9ments apparemment insignifiants. Depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, les mouvements de devises ont \u00e9t\u00e9 fr\u00e9quents et erratiques, atteignant souvent en quelques jours des records de plusieurs semaines \u00e0 la baisse ou [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-macroeconomie-et-politiques-economiques"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1667,"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101\/revisions\/1667"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/d-riskfx.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}